Przejdź do głównego menu Przejdź do sekcji głównej Przejdź do stopki

Nr 2/80 (2023)

Artykuły

Wybrane problemy zarządzania ryzykiem w produkcji zwierzęcej

  • Jacek Kulawik
Opublikowane: 04.01.2024

Abstrakt

Prezentowany artykuł jest studium przeglądowym, wykonanym przy zastosowaniu techniki a snow-ballingu. Jego podstawowym celem jest dokonanie pogłębionej analizy sześciu ważnych, w subiektywnej ocenie autora, problemów dotyczących zarządzania ryzykiem w produkcji zwierzęcej. Punktem wyjścia rozważań jest prosta konstatacja, że rolnicy zajmujący się produkcją zwierzęcą są konfrontowani z wieloma ryzykami, które w ostateczności (po ich zmaterializowaniu) mogą pogarszać ich kondycję ekonomiczno-finansową. Najpoważniejszym zagrożeniem są jednak choroby i epidemie zwierząt, które negatywnie mogą wpływać również na sytuację budżetową państw oraz podaż produktów zwierzęcych i ich jakość oraz ceny. W tym kontekście i rolnicy, i władze publiczne powinni dysponować odpowiednimi modelami ekonomicznymi do kontroli zdrowia i chorób zwierząt. Ich przegląd znajduje się w artykule. Skuteczne posługiwanie się modelami wymaga jednak od wszystkich interesariuszy przynajmniej ogólnej znajomości źródeł ryzyk, ich percepcji oraz nastawień do nich samych producentów rolnych. W artykule analizuje się również te kategorie. Zaprezentowano w nim także stronę formalną modelowania ryzyka produkcyjnego i cenowego, żeby móc m.in. ustosunkować się do przyczyn małego rozpowszechnienia się tradycyjnych ubezpieczeń w produkcji zwierzęcej. W ślad za tym uzyskano rzetelne udokumentowanie rekomendacji praktycznej i politycznej, będących zarazem głównym wnioskiem z przeprowadzonej analizy, iż w każdym kraju powinno się dysponować holistycznym systemem zarządzania ryzykiem w chowie i hodowli zwierząt gospodarskich. Oczywiście, powinien on być ciągle doskonalony. Bardzo pożądane jest przy tym, aby stopniowo wspierany był on modelami dynamiki systemów złożonych.

Bibliografia

  1. Abay A.K., Jensen D.N., Access to markets, weather conditions on dairy production, „Agricultural Economics” 2019, Vol. 50. [Google Scholar]
  2. Barnes A.P., Moxey P.A., Ahmedi V.B. et al., The effect of animal health compensation on “positive” behaviours toward exotic disease reporting and implementing biosecurity: A review, a synthesis and a research agenda , „Preventive Veterinary Medicine” 2015, Vol. 122. [Google Scholar]
  3. Belasco J.E., Taylor R.M., Goodwin K.B. et al., Probabilities Models of Yield, Price and Revenue Risks for Feed Cattle Production, „Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics” 2009, Vol. 41. [Google Scholar]
  4. Benett R.M., The use of economic quantitative modelling techniques in livestock health and disease-control decision making. A review, „Preventive Veterinary Medicine” 1992, Vol. 39. [Google Scholar]
  5. Bertram-Huemmer V., Kraehmert K., Does Index Insurance Help Households Recover from Disaster? Evidence from IBLI Mongolia, „Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin” 2015, No. 1515. [Google Scholar]
  6. Chi J., Weersink A. VanLeeuwen J. et al., The Economics Controlling Infectious Diseases on Dairy Farms, „Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics” 2002, Vol. 50(3). [Google Scholar]
  7. Coble H.K., Hanson R.T., Sempier H.S. et al., Investigation the Feasibility of Livestock Disease Insurance: a Case Study in US Agriculture [w:] The Economics of Livestock Disease Insurance. Concepts, Issues and International Case Studies, ed. S.R. Koontz, D.L. Hoage, D.D. Thilmany et al., Walligford, Cambridge, CABI Publishing, 2006. [Google Scholar]
  8. Craane B., Dijkstra P.U., Methodological quality of a systematic review on physical therapy for temporomandibular disorders: influence of hand search and quality scales, „Clinical Oral Investigations” 2012, Vol. 16(1). [Google Scholar]
  9. Dijkhuizen A.A., Huirne M.B.R., Jalvingh M.W., Economic analysis of animal diseases and their control, „Preventive Veterinary Medicine” 1995, Vol. 25. [Google Scholar]
  10. Feng H., Du X., Hennessy A.D., Depressed demand for crop insurance contracts, and rationale based on third generation Prospect Theory, „Agricultural Economics” 2020, Vol. 51. [Google Scholar]
  11. Ferguson M.S., Unconstrained trade: The Impact of EU Cage Bans on Exports of Poultry – Keeping Equipment, „Journal of Agricultural Economics” 2023, Vol. 74. [Google Scholar]
  12. Flaten O., Lien G., Koesling M. et al., Comparing risk perceptions and risk management in organic and conventional dairy farming: empirical results from Norway, „Livestock Production Science” 2005, Vol. 95, No. 1–2. [Google Scholar]
  13. Fox G., Weersink A., Damage control and increasing returns, „Journal of Agricultural Economics” 1995, Vol. 77. [Google Scholar]
  14. Gilbert W., Rushton J., Incentive Perception in Livestock Disease Control, „Journal of Agricultural Economics” 2018, Vol. 69, No. 1. [Google Scholar]
  15. Gramig B., Horan R., Wolf C., Livestock Disease Indemnity Design When Moral Hazard is Followed by Adverse Selection, „American Journal of Agricultural Economics” 2009, Vol. 91. [Google Scholar]
  16. Grannis L.J., Bruch L.M., The Role of USDA-APHIS in Livestock Disease Management within the USA [w:] The Economics of Livestock Disease Insurance. Concepts, Issues and International Case Studies, ed. S.R. Koontz, D.L. Hoage, D.D. Thilmany et al., Walligford, Cambridge, CABI Publishing, 2006. [Google Scholar]
  17. Green W.J., Driscoll L.J., Bruch L.M., Data Reqiurements for Domestic Livestock Insurance [w:] The Economics of Livestock Disease Insurance. Concepts, Issues and International Case Studies, ed. S.R. Koontz, D.L. Hoage, D.D. Thilmany et al., Walligford, Cambridge, CABI Publishing, 2006. [Google Scholar]
  18. Hart C.E., Babcock A.B., Hayes J.D., Livestock Revenue Insurance, „Journal of Futures Markets” 2001, Vol. 21. [Google Scholar]
  19. Hart Ch., The Current State of US Federally Supported Livestock Insurance [w:] The Economics of Livestock Disease Insurance. Concepts, Issues and International Case Studies, ed. S.R. Koontz, D.L. Hoage, D.D. Thilmany et al., Walligford, Cambridge, CABI Publishing, 2006. [Google Scholar]
  20. Heady D., Hirromen K., Hoddinott J., Animal sourced foods and child stunting, „American Journal of Agricultural Economics” 2018, Vol. 100. [Google Scholar]
  21. Hennessy A.D., Marsh L.T., Economics of animal health and livestock disease [w:] Handbook of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 5, ed. Ch.B. Barett, D.R. Just, Amsterdam, Elsevier, 2021. [Google Scholar]
  22. Hennessy A.D., Wolf A.Ch., Asymmetric Information Externalities and Incentives in Animal Disease Prevention and Control, „Journal of Agricultural Economics” 2018, Vol. 69. [Google Scholar]
  23. Hoffmann R., Protasowicki T., Modele dynamiki systemowej w modelowaniu złożonych systemów i procesów, „Biuletyn Instytutu Systemów Informatycznych” 2013, nr 12. [Google Scholar]
  24. Hohl M.R., Agricultural Risk Transfer. From Insurance to Reinsurance to Capital Markets, Wiley, Chichester, 2019. [Google Scholar]
  25. Jansen J., Van den Borne B.H.P., Renes R.J. et al., Explaining mastitis incidence in Dutch dairy farming: The influence of farmers’ attitudes and behavior, „Preventive Veterinary Medicine” 2009, Vol. 92(3). [Google Scholar]
  26. Kerr P.A., Biden S., Canada’s agricultural sector in light of COVID-19: Considerations one year later, „Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics” 2021, Vol. 69. [Google Scholar]
  27. Kerr P.A., Risk management in Canada’s agricultural sector in light of COVID-19, „Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics” 2020, Vol. 68. [Google Scholar]
  28. Kompas T., Chu L., van Ha P. et al., Budgeting and portfolio allocation for biosecurity measures, „Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics” 2019, Vol. 63. [Google Scholar]
  29. Läpple D., Osawe W.O., Concern for animals, other farmers, or oneself? Assessing farmers’ support for a policy to improve animal welfare, „American Journal of Agricultural Economics” 2023, Vol. 105(3). [Google Scholar]
  30. Lichtenberg E., Zilberman D., The econometrics of damage control – Why specification matters, „American Journal of Agricultural Economics” 1986, Vol. 68(2). [Google Scholar]
  31. Liu P., Hou L., Li D. et al., Determinants of Livestock Insurance Demand: Experimental Evidence from Chinese Herders, „Journal of Agricultural Economics” 2021, Vol. 72, No. 2. [Google Scholar]
  32. MacLachdan J.M., Springhorn R.M., Fackler L.P., Learning about a moving target in resource management: optimal Bayesian Disease Control, „American Journal of Agricultural Economist” 2017, Vol. 99. [Google Scholar]
  33. Madizimure J., Chimonyo M., Dzama K. et al., Classical Swine Fever Changes the Way Farmers Value Pigs in South Africa, „Journal of Agricultural Economics” 2015, Vol. 66, No. 3. [Google Scholar]
  34. McInerney J.P., Howe K.S., Schepers J.A., Framework for the economic analysis of disease, „Journal of Agricultural Economics” 1992, Vol. 47(3). [Google Scholar]
  35. McInerney J.P., Old economics for new problems – Livestock disease: Presidential address, „Journal of Agricultural Economics” 1996, Vol. 20. [Google Scholar]
  36. McKendree S.G.M., Tonsor T.G., Schulz L.L., Management of Multiple Sources of Risk in Livestock Production, „Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics” 2021, Vol. 53. [Google Scholar]
  37. Melyukhina O., Yoon W., Producer incentives in livestock disease management: a synthesis of conceptual and empirical studies. Draft Report, OECD Conference Centre, Paris 2017. [Google Scholar]
  38. Meuwissen P.M., Huirne M.R., Hardaker B.J., Risk and risk management: an empirical analysis of Dutch livestock farmers, „Livestock Production Science” 2001, Vol. 69. [Google Scholar]
  39. Mikes A., Lavsanne H., Kaplan R., When one size doesn’t fit all: Evolving directions in the research and practice of enterprise risk management, „Journal of Applied Corporate Finance” 215, Vol. 27. [Google Scholar]
  40. Miller G.Y., Bartlett C.P., Lance E.S et al., Costs of clinical mastis and mastis prevention in dairy herds, „Food Animals Economics” 1993, Vol. 202(8). [Google Scholar]
  41. Neumann B.G., Keogh C.R., Managing the Risks and Impacts of Animal Diseases in the Australian Livestock Sector [w:] The Economics of Livestock Disease Insurance. Concepts, Issues and International Case Studies, ed. S.R. Koontz, D.L. Hoage, D.D. Thilmany et al., Walligford, Cambridge, CABI Publishing, 2006. [Google Scholar]
  42. Nordmeyer F.E., Musshoff O., German farmers’ perceived usefulness of satellite-based index insurance: insights from a transtheoretical model, „Agricultural Finance Review” 2023, Vol. 83. [Google Scholar]
  43. OECD, Producer Incentives in Livestock Disease Managemant, Paris 2017. [Google Scholar]
  44. OIE, Animal Health: A Multifaceted Challenge, 2014. [Google Scholar]
  45. Owusu-Sekyere E., Hansson H., Telezhenko E., Use and non-use values to explain farmers motivation for the provision of animal welfare, „European Review of Agricultural Economics” 2022, Vol. 49. [Google Scholar]
  46. Panell D.J., An economic response model of herbicide application for weed control, „Australian Journal of Agricultural Economics” 1990, Vol. 34(3). [Google Scholar]
  47. Perez-Mendez A.J., Rosbes D., The influence of weather conditions on dairy production, „Agricultural Economics” 2019, Vol. 50. [Google Scholar]
  48. Polman F.D., Selten H.P.M, Motowska N. et al., A risk governance approach to mitigating food system risks in a crisis: Insights from the COVID-19 pandemic in five low – and middle – income countries, „Global Food Security” 2023, Vol. 39. [Google Scholar]
  49. Pritchett J., Thilmany D., Johson K., Uderstanding Broader Economic Effects of Livestock Insurance and Health Management: Impacts of Disease Outbreak on Allied Industries [w:] The Economics of Livestock Disease Insurance. Concepts, Issues and International Case Studies, ed. S.R. Koontz, D.L. Hoage, D.D. Thilmany et al., Walligford, Cambridge, CABI Publishing, 2006. [Google Scholar]
  50. Rat-Aspert O., Fouridon C., Modelling collective effectiveness of voluntary vaccination with and without incentives, „Preventive Veterinary Medicine” 2010, Vol. 93. [Google Scholar]
  51. GUS, Rocznik Statystyczny Rolnictwa, Warszawa 2022. [Google Scholar]
  52. Sarker R., Phan T., Lee N.Y. et al., Business Risk Management Program and risk-balancing on Ontario hog sector: An empirical analysis, „Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics” 2022, Vol. 70. [Google Scholar]
  53. Schaefer A.K., Scheitrum P.D., van Winden S., Returns on investment to the British bovine tuberculosis control programme, „Journal of Agricultural Economics” 2022, Vol. 73(2). [Google Scholar]
  54. Seitzinger H.A., Paarlberg L.P., Lee G.J., Economic Impacts of Eradication Scrapie, Ovine Progressive Pneumonia and Johne’s Disease on US Sheep, Lamb, Sheep Meat and Lamb Meats Markets [w:] The Economics of Livestock Disease Insurance. Concepts, Issues and International Case Studies, ed. S.R. Koontz, D.L. Hoage, D.D. Thilmany et al., Walligford, Cambridge, CABI Publishing, 2006. [Google Scholar]
  55. Shaik S., Barnett B.J., Coble K.H et al., Insurability conditions and livestock disease insurance [w:] The Economics of Livestock Disease Insurance. Concepts, Issues and International Case Studies, ed. S.R. Koontz, D.L. Hoage, D.D. Thilmany et al., Walligford, Cambridge CABI Publishing, 2006. [Google Scholar]
  56. Skidmore E.M., Outsourcing the dry season: cattle ranchers response to weather shocks in the Brazilian Amazon, „American Journal of Agricultural Economics” 2023, Vol. 104. [Google Scholar]
  57. Sok J., Fischer J.A.E., Farmers’ heterogeneous motives, voluntary vaccination and disease spread: an agent-based model, „European Review of Agricultural Economics” 2020, Vol. 47. [Google Scholar]
  58. Song S., Goh L.C.J., Tan W.T.H., Is food security an illusion for cities? A system dynamics approach to assess disturbance in the urban food supply chain during pandemics, „Agricultural Systems” 2021, Vol. 189. [Google Scholar]
  59. Sowa A., Zwierzę przemysłowe, „Polityka” 2021, nr 20. [Google Scholar]
  60. Stephen B., Epps T., Livestock Industry Insurance: Canada [w:] The Economics of Livestock Disease Insurance. Concepts, Issues and International Case Studies, ed. S.R. Koontz, D.L. Hoage, D.D. Thilmany et al., Walligford, Cambridge, CABI Publishing, 2006. [Google Scholar]
  61. Tozer R.P., Marsh L.T., Perevodchikov V.E., Economic Welfare Impacts of Foot – and Mooth Disease in Canadian Beef Cattle Sector, „Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics” 2015, Vol. 63. [Google Scholar]
  62. Turvey G.C., Conceptual Issues in Livestock Insurance, The State University of New Jersey RUTGERS, May 2003. [Google Scholar]

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Podobne artykuły

1 2 3 4 > >> 

Możesz również Rozpocznij zaawansowane wyszukiwanie podobieństw dla tego artykułu.